Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Norah O'Donnell
$640.01 Volume

Megyn Kelly
$681.88 Volume

Benjamin Netanyahu
$154K Volume

Nicolás Maduro
$9.1K Volume

Keir Starmer
$2.7K Volume

Zohran Mamdani
$2.0K Volume

Freidrich Merz
$9.8K Volume

Alex Jones
$645.45 Volume

Emmanuel Macron
$12K Volume

Pope Leo XIV
$23K Volume

Pam Bondi
$4.7K Volume

J.D. Vance
$13K Volume

Vladimir Putin
$14K Volume

Mohammed bin Salman
$16K Volume

Elon Musk
$15K Volume

Melania Trump
$7.4K Volume

Viktor Orbán
$4.9K Volume

Xi Jinping
$52K Volume

Marjorie Taylor Greene
$283K Volume

Candace Owens
$125K Volume

Tucker Carlson
$115K Volume

Barack Obama
$17K Volume

Jerome Powell
$8.0K Volume

Joe Biden
$2.4K Volume

Kaitlan Collins
$1.8K Volume
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- Resolver: official source.
- Deadline: closing date in UTC.
- Disputed outcomes: handled by moderators within 48 hours.


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