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Prediction markets
8 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
21%
chance
Yes
No
$253K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$119
58 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$1.52M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$174
60 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
99%
5 more
$727K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 6?
150-174
35%
200-224
28%
3 more
$94K
Vol.
Jul 12
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$71
57 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
38%
chance
Yes
No
$119K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$66
43 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
20-40
72%
0-20
25%
3 more
$55K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$35
49 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
56%
September
26%
5 more
NEW
$629.25
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$45
28 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
37%
chance
Yes
No
NEW
$66.82
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$39
29 trading now
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